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Stock Trends: Portfolio
TSX Bullish New High Portfolio
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Trading History

   

The Stock Trends TSX Bullish New High trading strategy, defined below, has averaged 19% annual returns over the 23-year period September 1994 to December 2017!

 

ST TSX Bullish New High Portfolio Strategy Performance - 1995 to 2016:
Year Avg Invested
Capital
Net Gain/(Loss) % Returns
ST
Portfolio *
S&P TSX
Index
Difference
2017 46,604 3,950 8.5 6.0 2.5
2016 42,453 5,661 13.7 17.5 -3.8
2015 51,321 -5,606 -10.8 -8.9 -1.9
2014 55,283 -4,074 -7.3 7.5 -14.8
2013 82,830 13,987 17.0 10.3 6.7
2012 50,189 6,263 12.4 3.0 9.4
2011 49,057 -11,262 -22.8 -11.1 -11.7
2010 51,698 2,761 5.5 14.5 -9.0
2009 13,019 6,243 51.5 41.4 10.1
2008 13,962 -2,335 -16.4 -39.9 23.5
2007 49,245 21,167 42.5 7.1 35.4
2006 57,358 461 0.8 14.3 -13.5
2005 70,000 9,247 13.2 21.9 -8.7
2004 90,377 24,677 27.2 13.5 13.7
2003 55,283 13,974 26.8 23.1 3.7
2002 63,396 27,592 42.8 -13.6 56.4
2001 41,132 628 1.5 -13.8 15.3
2000 29,811 -505 -1.7 5.6 -7.3
1999 36,226 30,905 86.4 29.6 56.8
1998 23,774 15,447 65.3 -1.1 66.4
1997 111,132 16,933 15.1 11.5 3.6
1996 63,585 21,688 34.2 25.1 9.1
1995 50,566 16,627 32.8 11.6 21.2

* ST portfolio annual returns are based on average invested capital for the year.


You can review a history of ALL completed positions (i.e. a position is 'completed' when it it is bought and sold): Trading History

How can you too follow the Stock Trends TSX Bullish New High Portfolio?... simply subscribe to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter for $19.95/mo (or choose one of our money-saving annual subscription plans). Each week we run our proprietary Stock Trends Portfolio Buy filter to find new acquisitions for this and other portfolios, and review the current portfolio holdings for our Sell signals - all published in weekly Portfolio reports made available to subscribers. 


STOCK TRENDS TSX BULLISH NEW HIGH
 TRADING STRATEGY


The trading criteria defined for the Stock Trends TSX Bullish New High are as follows:

BUY a stock when:

  • tagged with a "Bullish" indicator (), and
  • weekly volume is above 100,000 shares, and volume of trading is at least twice the 13-week average volume (volume tagged as high - ), and
  • price movement on the week exceeds the comparative market index (+ sign beside the RSI), and
  • week closing price is at a new 52-week high, and
  • finally, limit the selection to stocks trading above $2 at the time of entry.

 

Note that transaction costs are factored into the cost of purchases and the net proceeds of sales at 1% in and 1% out, or 2% commission on a round trip. 

 

SELL criteria are as follows:

  • Sell Trigger #1: A Bearish Crossover ().
  • Sell Trigger #2: A Stop Loss provision is defined for each position held, setting the stop price at 15% below the highest closing price (minimum $0.50 below). If a stock is trading at or below the stop price at the end of a trading week, it is sold at the weekly closing price. Stop prices are moved up with any weekly increase in the stock's price, but, once increased, are never moved back down. 
  • Sell Trigger #3: When the Stock Trends indicator turns from Bullish () to Weak Bullish ().
  • Sell Trigger #5: When the RSI +/- indicator has been (-) for 3 consecutive weeks.


Stock Trends TSX Bullish New High Portfolio has a winning percentage (the number of trades that provided positive returns as a percentage of the total number of trades) of 41%. What makes the system successful is the ratio of the average gains on positive return trades to the average losses on negative return trades. One way to represent this relationship and measure the profitability of a trading system is the Profit Factor:

 

Trading Statistics

 
Total # of (completed) positions taken: 561
# of winning positions (winning %): 232 (41.4%)
Average gain(%) per winning position: 21.5%
Average loss(%) per losing position: 8.3%
Profit factor**: 1.8
Maximum gain(%) on a position: 225%
Maximum loss(%): -48%
Annualized return on average invested capital: 19%
Average invested capital: $51,351
Average # of positions held: 6
Average # of weeks invested in each position: 11

* all trading stats compiled at December 31, 2017 

 **Profit Factor = (% of winning trades X average $ gains on winning trades) / ABSOLUTE VALUE[(% of losing trades X average $ losses on losing trades)]

 

Stock Trends TSX Bullish New High Portfolio Distribution of Returns

 

 

 

 

 

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